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Cake day: July 31st, 2023

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  • I’ve been either adding an additional tie or two, with one tighter and closer to the end (but it doesn’t always stay) or more often I use a long “Buff” (the dominant brand for the fabric tube “multifunctional neck gater” products) worn like a bandana and don’t bother with a tie. For my riding at least, if the buff is as long as or longer than my hair, I usually don’t end up with the tangles I’d normally get. If I don’t want it flapping in the wind, it is also long enough to tuck the buff’s end into my collar (or just put my jacket on over top of the buff and pull out a little slack) and it stays there even with shoulder-checks.

    It might look similar to the high tail thing someone else suggested so maybe my suggestion isn’t too helpful.


  • And yet, they did it, very quickly, and will do so again when the market shifts again.

    These aren’t typical conditions. There is a world of difference between “Yo, here is a truckload of money. Give me all your RAM for the next two years!” (AI right now) and “We need to align our capacity to the current needs of the market in order to not flood the market with product we can’t sell.” (normal conditions).

    Look at the memory market before this AI shitshow. It’s cyclical as the fabs try to match demand without flooding the market. It typically takes several quarters to ramp capacity up and down, causing shortages and then oversaturating the market because they can’t do it fast enough. Returning to that kind of production is also likely to be more difficult than it would otherwise be to adjust while already in it. There are so many unknowns in this wild situation. How much DRAM should they commit to making?

    Anyway, I’m not even a business person so what the fuck do I know. I’m getting tired of this conversation. It would be great to be optimistic, but that’s not something I’m capable of right now. Best of luck. I hope it pops and prices plummet.


  • Please indicate the point at which we no longer agree.

    • The price of consumer hardware, like RAM and SSDs, is high right now.

    • Supply for consumer hardware is low right now.

    • The reason that the price of consumer hardware is high right now is because supply is low.

    • The reason this supply is low is because manufacturing capacity that used to be committed to consumer variants of this hardware has been converted to manufacturing datacenter variants of this hardware.

    • The reason for the manufacturing shift is that, because of the AI bubble, demand for datacenter hardware is high.

    • It takes time and money to convert manufacturing capacity between consumer hardware to datacenter hardware.

    • This conversion also includes changing investment, R&D, and employment priorities. Companies like Micron (one of the three major/noteworthy memory suppliers in the world) have cut/gutted their B2C divisions to focus their resources entirely on the more profitable datacenter B2B efforts.

    • Datacenter variants of this hardware are substantially different than consumer variants and are not interchangeable.

    • Higher prices, slimmer margins, and lower sales have caused some consumer electronics businesses to cut back, focus on narrower market segments, pivot to other markets, or exit the market entirely.

    If we agree on all of the above, I’m not sure why you are confused.

    If the bubble pops today, it very well may cause demand for datacenter hardware to crater, assuming they don’t get creative and find a way to pivot hard toward other SaaS somehow. Since the parts are not at all compatible with consumer electronics, this would not provide an instant increase in consumer hardware supply nor would it crater consumer hardware demand.

    If the crash is bad enough, some of the businesses that pivoted to B2B/datacenter hardware may fail or have to be bailed out by their governments. Even if they all survived, fewer consumer product businesses exist in the market to sell to consumers and they have fewer product lines in development. Companies like Micron, who abandoned their established brands and/or relationships with resellers or partners that would use their parts in consumer products, will need to rebuild those things. Manufacturing would need to be converted, updated to the latest consumer hardware needs, taking more time and money.

    It would take quite a while to rebuild consumer hardware supply. Without that supply, demand will not be met and prices will be high.





  • …why would it need to be?

    It doesn’t need to, but if it were that would be the only reason I’d say prices might drop anytime soon. A glut of used consumer-compatible parts would push prices down. That or maybe if the rising Chinese suppliers manage to ramp up and find a way to enter the western market.

    The price is currently high and is rising because resources and manufacturing capacity are limited. Those who own the capacity have found that providing for a small number of companies that are flush with cash and will throw money around just to ensure their competitors don’t gain an advantage is far more lucrative than providing for consumers or businesses that integrate parts into consumer devices. The entire market segment is shifting away from consumer and focusing on datacenter hardware.

    The longer this goes on, the further the major players will be from being able to pivot back to consumer products… and there are only major players in the memory and NAND industry. You can’t just form a new memory or NAND company and start manufacturing this stuff. It takes years and a lot of investment to build the facilities and the kind of capacity we’re used to.

    Edit: I’ve also seen a number of non-tech folks excited for cheap used datacenter memory and gpus to flood the market after the bubble pops, as if the parts were at all compatible with consumer devices. I wanted to make sure that was not part of your calculation.


  • Once the bubble pops, assuming it doesn’t take economies with it, none of the product will be compatible with consumer devices. Manufacturing will have to be reoriented back to consumer products, then those parts will need to be manufactured, then the rush of people trying to get the parts will have to pass. THEN maybe prices will come down.

    I suspect the datacenters will just pivot and repurposed to rent consumers “cloud compute” and cloud subscription services and continue to fuck the entire consumer market for years to come.

    But then again I now hate everything so maybe I’m just pessimistic.




  • As I recall, they were actually naked and didn’t feel the need to cover themselves until after eating from the “tree of knowledge of good and evil”.

    Thanks to that stupid fucking story and all the others, many cultures heavily influenced by Christian mythology feel the need to add those leaves because they can’t handle nudity.



  • Not a fan of IQ as a measure, but it’s hard to quantify “intelligence” for the purpose of studies. All standard measurements tend to be biased in one way or another.

    TLDR:

    The researchers then analyzed the four specific dimensions of the detailed questionnaire. For economic libertarianism, socialism, and liberalism, the analysis again showed no statistical difference between the groups. Giftedness did not appear to push individuals toward or away from these specific ideologies.

    However, a distinct pattern emerged regarding the dimension of conservatism. The researchers found an interaction effect between giftedness and sex. This means the relationship between intelligence and conservatism depended on whether the participant was male or female.

    Specifically, non-gifted men scored higher on conservatism than gifted men. The non-gifted men were more likely to endorse values related to tradition and strict social order. Gifted men were less likely to hold these traditional conservative views.

    This difference was not observed among the women in the study. Gifted women and non-gifted women showed similar levels of conservatism. The divergence was unique to the male participants.





  • The Republicans are rewriting history. I’m tired of Trump being treated like a special case. He’s been aided and directed by the entire GOP and their Christo-Fascist circle (Heritage and the rest of their like). When the bastard finally succumbs to whatever degeneration he’s suffering from, the country can’t just pretend like the fight is over. He’s just the face of this monstrosity that is trying to destroy America and rebuild it as their perfect playground.


  • Communism, socialism, and the theoretically fairer alternatives I speak of have a number of possible implementations and, for the reasons I mentioned above, virtually no untainted historical examples for us to cleanly learn from. Every time someone takes a crack at it, the circumstances are unique and the powers looking to sabotage the system or seize it for themselves are different. It usually gets dismantled or becomes so corrupted as to be nothing more than another attempt.

    I know nothing about what happened in Egypt and I’m commenting solely on my general knowledge and the words you have provided me.

    The president back then decided to take a big chunk of land from the ultra rich and divide it among the farmers. Factories were nationalized, big chains and businesses were taken away.

    When a land lord owned vast amount of land, he had enough money to buy most advanced equipments and most talented and experienced engineers in agriculture but when the land got divided among many poor farmers, they couldn’t afford any of that and productivity went down fast and the effect is lasting until now.

    So the farmers had no assistance and no plan to implement this massive change? Land was just taken from a large owner and haphazardly distributed to poor farmers?

    While I don’t doubt that the loss of productivity has had a detrimental effect and caused harm, how were conditions for the laborers and those in poverty before this happened, when “productivity” was great? I’m not sure what the greater “good” conditions would be since I’m not familiar with the situation, the region, or its struggles. It is just notable that your description focuses on productivity.

    Nationalized factories and businesses were given to people who - at best - didn’t worry too much if they’d succeed or not and at worse wanted to make as much cash as possible. Add to that people feared of succeeding too much least their possessions get confiscated.

    Nationalized tends to mean state ownership rather than distributed or worker ownership. Who were the factories “given to” and what does that mean? Again, was there a plan or were they just seized and handed off without serious consideration for how they should be managed and maintained?

    Perhaps there is a reason I’ve never heard of the Egyptian communism you speak of. It sounds like it was not implemented with any kind of long term plan and, unsurprisingly, didn’t achieve very much. Or it might just be that it received little attention because it wasn’t a country of “white” people.


  • theparadox@lemmy.worldtoComic Strips@lemmy.worldbillionaireman
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    1 month ago

    What shakes me to my core is that any attempt to establish a fair system is immediately bombarded by countless external and internal malicious actors looking to either exploit any loophole they can find for their own benefit or sabotage the system to prevent it from gaining any traction because it threatens their power.

    I don’t think capitalism or any of the similarly exploitative systems that came before it are superior solutions to proposed fairer alternatives, but the wealth disparity they have created and the perverse incentive structure they push on society leave us ill equipped to transition away from them. Right now, our economies are all so interconnected and interdependent that it’s impossible to exist outside of the influence of capitalism or it’s awful predecessors.


  • theparadox@lemmy.worldtoMemes@sopuli.xyzReal Struggle 😔
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    1 month ago

    I overheard someone considerably high up in my organization struggling to understand the concept of an email BCC (Blind Carbon Copy).

    He was trying to figure out how to notify a large number of people via email without letting them know who else was receiving the email.

    Some things may fall under IT but they should really fall under the category of things every professional should understand.