Climatic analogs for some US urban areas in the late 21st century:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08540-3 @climate
#climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #analog #classification
Thanks, this is interesting
For anyone who is not going to read the article, the map shows what locations have the climate today, that the major city will have in 2080, under a variety of climate change scenarios
“Climates of most urban areas in the central and western U.S. will become most similar to contemporary climates found to the south or southeast (Fig. 2). Put another way, by the 2080s climate of cities in the northeast will tend to feel more like the humid subtropical climates typical of parts of the Midwest or southeastern U.S. today (warmer and wetter in all seasons, Supplementary Figure 2), whereas the climates of western cities are expected to become more like those of the desert Southwest or southern California (warmer in all seasons, with changes in the amount and seasonal distribution of precipitation, Supplementary Figure 3).”
They also made a web app where you can input any city and it will show you its 2080 analog: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/
That’s pretty nifty and easy to interpret
And they use OpenStreetMap, pretty cool
Cool idea, but outdated and pretty inaccurate for a lot of areas unfortunately. I’ve seen a few better versions out there.
Do you have some links?
Maybe also something that’s not just US only? :-\I’ll see if I can find what I was looking at. I haven’t seen a really perfect one though. If you want to answer a specific question about your future climate, it’s often best to just look at local predictions.
Thanks for the effort already! :-)
I think this was the best one I had found: https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-analogues-finding-tomorrows-climate-today
Unfortunately it appears to be broken at the moment. Hopefully that is temporary.
Climate analogues project strong regional differences in the future water and electricity demand across US cities (2023): https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322(23)00454-2 @climate
#analogs #analogues #climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #maps #classification #USA #DC #LA #SF #SFBA #Chicago #Portland #Seattle #Dallas
An interactive map to show climate analogs in Northern America: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/ @climate ht @greenhorn
#analogs #analogues #climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #maps #classification #USA #DC #LA #SF #SFBA #Chicago #Portland #Seattle #Dallas #Denver #Toronto
Many people might not realize it, but the area of northern California they’re saying Portland will become like is insanely hot in the summers. My first summer there I swear the high was in the 100s F from May 1st til Halloween.
I didn’t believe you but yeah, it’s very hot especially july and august.
I wouldn’t put too much stock in this model. It’s not very accurate.
@anatole
What I find really interesting here is what happens when you trace the future climate of areas that currently produce most of the food for the US. Where they end up, climate-wise, the climate seems best suited for growing chickens and cattle (neither of which can be sustained without the grain from the breadbasket), sweet potatoes, peanuts, cotton, and, well, kudzu.
@climate
